Quantora · Macro

Macro Dashboard

The US economy in numbers, straight from the Federal Reserve: the Treasury yield curve, the 10Y-2Y spread that has preceded every recent recession, the Fed Funds rate, inflation and unemployment. Official data, live, no login.

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The yield curve plots what the government pays to borrow across maturities. Normally it slopes up - longer loans cost more. When it inverts (short rates above long, a negative 10Y-2Y spread), markets are betting the Fed will have to cut rates into a slowdown; that inversion has led every US recession for decades, which is why it's the single most-watched macro signal. Alongside it, the Fed Funds rate is the Fed's policy lever, CPI tracks inflation against the 2% target, and unemployment is the other half of the Fed's mandate. Read together, they tell you where the economy sits in its cycle.

Data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). This product uses the FRED API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For information and education, not investment advice.